Current:Home > StocksHow to make sense of the country's stunningly strong job market -MarketEdge
How to make sense of the country's stunningly strong job market
View
Date:2025-04-15 00:50:00
The job market is defying all odds.
U.S. employers added 336,000 jobs in September, according to the Labor Department. That's about twice as many as forecasters were expecting.
The strong job growth is welcome news for anyone looking for work. But it could make the Federal Reserve's effort to bring down inflation harder.
Here are four things to know about the monthly employment snapshot.
The jobs engine is not slowing down
Instead of the slowdown that forecasters expected to see in the jobs numbers, hiring appears to be revving up. Not only did employers add an eye-popping number of jobs in September, but revised figures show that hiring was much stronger in July and August than had been reported.
Last month's job gains were broad-based with nearly every industry adding workers.
Restaurants and bars added 61,000 jobs in September and are finally back to where they were before the pandemic. Health care and education also added tens of thousands of workers last month. Even factories and construction companies continued to hire, despite the strain of rising interest rates.
The job market has implications for the Fed
The Federal Reserve is keeping a close eye on the job market as it tries to decide whether to raise interest rates even higher, in an effort to control inflation.
At its last meeting in September, policymakers appeared to be leaning toward one more rate hike this year in their quest to bring prices under control.
The strong September employment report could be a worry, but it may not be all bad from the Fed's perspective.
The main concern with hot labor market is that it could put upward pressure on wages, and threaten further inflation.
But despite the big job gains last month, wage growth remained modest. Average wages in September were up 4.2% from a year ago, and wages rose just 0.2% between August and September.
"Wage growth is cooling so this doesn't look like an inflationary job market," says Julia Coronado, president of MacroPolicy Perspectives. "It's kind of Goldilocks, actually."
The unemployment rate is still low
The unemployment rate held steady in September at 3.8%. While the jobless rate has inched up from earlier this year, it remains very low by historical standards.
The unemployment rate rose in August because hundreds of thousands of new people joined the workforce that month. That's a good sign because it suggests people are optimistic about their job prospects. And with more people working, the economy can grow without putting upward pressure on prices.
A cautionary note: the unemployment rate for African Americans rose last month from 5.3 to 5.7%. That could be a statistical fluke. The number has bounced up and down a lot in recent months. But it's something to keep an eye on.
Strike news won't show up until next month
This jobs tally was conducted in mid-September, just before the United Auto Workers strike began, so it doesn't reflect the 25,000 autoworkers who are on strike as of Friday morning, nor the several thousand additional workers who've been idled because of parts shortages tied to the strike.
The September snapshot was also taken before Hollywood writers ended their strike. Those changes could show up in the October jobs report.
veryGood! (38)
Related
- Pregnant Kylie Kelce Shares Hilarious Question Her Daughter Asked Jason Kelce Amid Rising Fame
- Federal judge in Texas blocks US labor board rule that would make it easier for workers to unionize
- OSCARS PHOTOS: See candid moments from the red carpet
- Why Robert Downey Jr. Looked Confused by Jimmy Kimmel's Penis Joke at the 2024 Oscars
- Where will Elmo go? HBO moves away from 'Sesame Street'
- Are grocery stores open Easter 2024? See details for Costco, Kroger, Aldi, Whole Foods, more
- Read all about it: The popularity of turning captions on
- All 5 aboard dead after small private jet crashes and burns in rural Virginia woods, police say
- Head of the Federal Aviation Administration to resign, allowing Trump to pick his successor
- Two National Guard soldiers, Border Patrol agent identified after deadly helicopter crash
Ranking
- Current, future North Carolina governor’s challenge of power
- Mountain lions lurking: 1 killed by car in Oceanside, California, as sightings reported
- Our credit card debt threatens to swamp our savings. Here's how to deal with both
- Selma Blair Rocks Bra Top During 2024 Oscars Party Outing Amid Multiple Sclerosis Battle
- Senate begins final push to expand Social Security benefits for millions of people
- Oscars 2024: Julia Fox Stuns in Nipple-Bearing Look For Elton John’s Watch Party
- Alabamians Want Public Officials to Mitigate Landslide Risk as Climate Change Makes Extreme Precipitation More Frequent
- Get $118 J.Crew Jeans for $44, 50% off Grande Cosmetics Brow Serum, $400 Off Purple Mattress & More Deals
Recommendation
See you latte: Starbucks plans to cut 30% of its menu
Sean Ono Lennon wishes mom Yoko Ono a happy Mother's Day at the Oscars
USWNT defeats Brazil to win inaugural Concacaf W Gold Cup
Christopher Bell wins NASCAR race at Phoenix to give emotional lift to Joe Gibbs Racing
'As foretold in the prophecy': Elon Musk and internet react as Tesla stock hits $420 all
Elle King Breaks Silence After Drunken Performance at Dolly Parton Tribute Show
US probes complaints that automatic emergency braking comes on for no reason in 2 Honda models
Brother of LSU guard Flau’jae Johnson arrested after SEC Tournament championship fight